Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Las Palmas with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 54.4% | 14.9% | −39.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 72.6% | 52.0% | −20.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 26.9% | 47.1% | +20.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 25.3% | 44.0% | +18.7 |
| Valencia | Champion | 47.1% | 61.9% | +14.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 16.2% | 1.5% | −14.7 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 11.0% | 24.9% | +13.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 16.7% | 3.4% | −13.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 28.4% | 41.7% | +13.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 67.8% | 55.1% | −12.7 |
