Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Celta Vigo with a 19.8% chance, Rayo Vallecano beat Deportivo Alavés with a 22.7% chance, Tenerife beat Las Palmas with a 18.3% chance, and Real Sociedad beat Real Valladolid with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 31.5% | 83.4% | +52.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 46.7% | 89.9% | +43.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 53.4% | 10.1% | −43.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 49.9% | 89.9% | +40.0 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 50.1% | 10.1% | −40.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 53.8% | 23.6% | −30.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 16.7% | 0% | −16.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 83.3% | 100% | +16.7 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 15.7% | 0% | −15.7 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 86.0% | 100% | +14.0 |
