Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Deportivo Alavés with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on March 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 69.5% | 53.4% | −16.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 58.0% | 42.3% | −15.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 60.6% | 74.7% | +14.1 |
| Valencia | Champion | 44.9% | 32.8% | −12.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 18.7% | 30.7% | +12.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 18.2% | 29.7% | +11.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 42.3% | 30.9% | −11.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 16.3% | 7.1% | −9.3 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 54.9% | 46.2% | −8.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 7.0% | 15.1% | +8.1 |
