Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Mallorca with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on March 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 42.3% | 16.5% | −25.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 29.7% | 11.0% | −18.7 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 46.2% | 30.0% | −16.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 31.3% | 46.0% | +14.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 12.3% | 24.6% | +12.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 30.9% | 42.0% | +11.2 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 36.8% | 47.8% | +11.0 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 21.9% | 11.2% | −10.7 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 61.1% | 69.4% | +8.3 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 23.7% | 30.6% | +6.9 |
