Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tenerife beat Real Sociedad with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 3 (before the first match) against those on March 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 37.4% | 58.0% | +20.6 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 76.7% | 56.3% | −20.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 38.5% | 54.9% | +16.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 54.7% | 42.3% | −12.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 15.0% | 26.1% | +11.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 70.8% | 60.6% | −10.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 27.5% | 18.2% | −9.3 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 26.3% | 17.5% | −8.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 36.7% | 44.8% | +8.1 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 19.7% | 11.7% | −7.9 |
