Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on March 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 39.4% | 19.7% | −19.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 34.3% | 15.0% | −19.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 58.9% | 71.6% | +12.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 59.7% | 70.8% | +11.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 79.0% | 87.7% | +8.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 29.3% | 36.7% | +7.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 23.4% | 30.6% | +7.2 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 26.8% | 33.6% | +6.9 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 45.3% | 38.5% | −6.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 26.1% | 32.1% | +6.0 |