Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Mallorca with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 17 (before the first match) against those on February 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 48.3% | 34.3% | −14.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 31.7% | 45.3% | +13.6 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 26.2% | 39.4% | +13.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.7% | 48.7% | −13.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 34.5% | 23.0% | −11.6 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 87.6% | 76.8% | −10.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 69.6% | 79.0% | +9.4 |
| Valencia | Champion | 28.5% | 37.6% | +9.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 17.1% | 8.0% | −9.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 76.3% | 85.4% | +9.1 |
