Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Deportivo Alavés with a 22.2% chance and Real Sociedad beat Sevilla with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 10 (before the first match) against those on February 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 53.3% | 38.4% | −14.9 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 17.4% | 31.7% | +14.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 49.2% | 61.7% | +12.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 40.6% | 28.9% | −11.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 22.9% | 34.5% | +11.6 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 14.8% | 26.2% | +11.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 24.3% | 13.8% | −10.5 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 77.4% | 87.6% | +10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.7% | 21.6% | −8.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 70.0% | 62.0% | −8.0 |
