Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 6 (before the first match) against those on February 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 66.4% | 53.3% | −13.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 65.2% | 77.5% | +12.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 18.5% | 29.7% | +11.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 30.4% | 40.6% | +10.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 60.1% | 70.0% | +9.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 30.9% | 24.3% | −6.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 13.6% | 7.1% | −6.5 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 11.7% | 6.8% | −4.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 19.3% | 14.5% | −4.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 65.5% | 60.8% | −4.7 |