Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Celta Vigo with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 46.8% | 65.5% | +18.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 69.7% | 53.6% | −16.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 45.8% | 30.9% | −14.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 64.0% | 76.7% | +12.7 |
| Valencia | Champion | 18.2% | 29.9% | +11.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 23.3% | 12.4% | −10.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 75.8% | 65.2% | −10.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 9.4% | 19.3% | +9.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 27.4% | 18.5% | −8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 39.3% | 47.7% | +8.4 |
