Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 27 (before the first match) against those on February 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 64.5% | 46.8% | −17.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 32.0% | 45.8% | +13.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 40.4% | 27.4% | −13.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 57.9% | 69.7% | +11.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 69.3% | 58.0% | −11.3 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 63.8% | 74.4% | +10.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 14.0% | 23.3% | +9.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 68.3% | 59.4% | −9.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 30.4% | 39.3% | +8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 84.2% | 75.8% | −8.4 |
