Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Espanyol with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Relegation | 49.0% | 28.7% | −20.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 30.6% | 42.4% | +11.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 28.9% | 38.8% | +9.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 41.5% | 51.1% | +9.7 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 21.6% | 11.9% | −9.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 17.3% | 25.8% | +8.5 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 66.4% | 74.7% | +8.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 58.2% | 66.2% | +8.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 40.8% | 33.1% | −7.8 |
| Las Palmas | Champions League | 22.9% | 15.4% | −7.5 |
