Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Mallorca with a 16.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Champions League | 46.4% | 24.5% | −21.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.4% | 40.8% | −15.5 |
| Las Palmas | Champions League | 12.7% | 22.9% | +10.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 31.5% | 41.5% | +9.9 |
| Mallorca | Champion | 13.4% | 4.7% | −8.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 17.9% | 9.5% | −8.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 21.1% | 28.9% | +7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 9.6% | 3.1% | −6.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 52.0% | 58.2% | +6.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 15.8% | 21.9% | +6.1 |
