Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 78.3% | 58.4% | −19.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 26.2% | 46.0% | +19.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 70.4% | 87.1% | +16.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 28.7% | 13.3% | −15.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 15.8% | 3.2% | −12.6 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 3.8% | 15.8% | +12.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 32.8% | 41.3% | +8.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 52.2% | 60.1% | +7.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Europa League | 3.8% | 10.8% | +7.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 9.9% | 2.9% | −7.0 |
