Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Deportivo Alavés with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 9 (before the first match) against those on December 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 65.2% | 50.7% | −14.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 34.4% | 45.1% | +10.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champion | 22.6% | 13.0% | −9.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 27.1% | 36.2% | +9.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 22.0% | 28.7% | +6.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 45.7% | 52.2% | +6.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 64.0% | 70.4% | +6.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 13.1% | 6.8% | −6.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 31.7% | 25.8% | −5.9 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 10.8% | 4.9% | −5.9 |
