Round 21

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on January 28 (before the first match) against those on February 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
OsasunaRelegation68.7%77.2%+8.5
BarcelonaChampions League79.3%86.6%+7.3
VillarrealEuropa League13.2%19.6%+6.4
EspanyolEuropa League9.8%15.6%+5.8
Real ZaragozaEuropa League12.1%17.6%+5.5
Deportivo AlavésEuropa League15.5%10.6%−4.8
Rayo VallecanoEuropa League23.2%18.3%−4.8
BarcelonaEuropa League14.2%10.2%−4.0
Las PalmasEuropa League7.3%11.2%+3.9
Rayo VallecanoChampions League10.8%7.3%−3.6
Home 55.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away 20.1%
Home 67.5%
Draw 21.4%
Away 11.1%
Home 34.2%
Draw 29.7%
Away 36.2%
Home 36.1%
Draw 29.7%
Away 34.3%
Home 59.8%
Draw 23.3%
Away 16.9%
Home 38.3%
Draw 29.0%
Away 32.6%
Home 47.0%
Draw 26.6%
Away 26.4%
Home 38.3%
Draw 29.1%
Away 32.7%
Home 43.7%
Draw 27.5%
Away 28.8%
Home 39.2%
Draw 28.8%
Away 32.0%