Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Real Madrid with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 60.7% | 45.8% | −14.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 34.4% | 44.3% | +9.9 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 29.7% | 38.8% | +9.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 38.9% | 47.6% | +8.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 24.2% | 15.5% | −8.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 24.7% | 33.1% | +8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 18.3% | 9.9% | −8.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 30.9% | 23.0% | −7.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 80.1% | 86.8% | +6.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 10.4% | 16.9% | +6.5 |
