Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Real Sociedad with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on October 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Relegation | 54.7% | 38.9% | −15.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 22.1% | 10.8% | −11.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 15.5% | 26.1% | +10.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 34.2% | 44.4% | +10.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 10.0% | 19.0% | +9.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 47.3% | 55.3% | +8.0 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 23.7% | 31.4% | +7.7 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 38.8% | 31.4% | −7.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 38.7% | 31.5% | −7.2 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 5.0% | 11.9% | +6.9 |
