Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Numancia beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 9.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | Relegation | 53.1% | 34.6% | −18.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 51.5% | 34.4% | −17.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 27.5% | 41.8% | +14.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 42.8% | 32.2% | −10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 29.4% | 38.9% | +9.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 15.5% | 24.2% | +8.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 24.3% | 15.7% | −8.6 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 21.6% | 29.7% | +8.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 16.7% | 24.7% | +8.0 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 33.7% | 26.0% | −7.7 |
