Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 23 (before the first match) against those on April 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 12.6% | 35.7% | +23.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 87.4% | 64.3% | −23.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 12.5% | 33.7% | +21.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 81.1% | 61.5% | −19.6 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 20.8% | 3.1% | −17.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 77.0% | 92.5% | +15.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 65.9% | 78.0% | +12.1 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 33.6% | 22.0% | −11.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 29.3% | 39.1% | +9.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 71.4% | 79.7% | +8.4 |