Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Real Madrid with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 91.0% | 65.9% | −25.1 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 8.7% | 33.6% | +24.8 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 60.1% | 77.0% | +16.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 12.1% | 0.6% | −11.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 77.0% | 87.4% | +10.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 22.1% | 12.6% | −9.5 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 11.4% | 1.9% | −9.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 12.5% | 21.7% | +9.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 63.6% | 71.4% | +7.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 7.8% | 0.4% | −7.4 |
