Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 9 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 50.9% | 28.1% | −22.8 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 41.1% | 60.1% | +19.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 75.0% | 91.0% | +16.1 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 23.5% | 8.7% | −14.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 89.2% | 77.0% | −12.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 10.5% | 22.1% | +11.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 23.1% | 12.5% | −10.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 14.5% | 24.3% | +9.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 81.6% | 88.8% | +7.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 11.6% | 4.6% | −7.0 |
