Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Valencia with a 12.9% chance and Racing Santander beat Real Oviedo with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Relegation | 30.6% | 15.5% | −15.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 30.5% | 16.1% | −14.4 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 41.9% | 54.2% | +12.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 20.2% | 10.5% | −9.7 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 24.8% | 15.8% | −9.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 25.3% | 16.8% | −8.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 42.2% | 50.4% | +8.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 72.7% | 80.9% | +8.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 23.7% | 15.7% | −8.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 29.2% | 37.2% | +7.9 |
