Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Mallorca with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 39.1% | 25.3% | −13.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 43.3% | 30.5% | −12.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 35.0% | 23.3% | −11.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 26.3% | 37.4% | +11.0 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 32.6% | 41.9% | +9.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 29.4% | 20.2% | −9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 62.1% | 70.8% | +8.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 31.1% | 22.9% | −8.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 15.5% | 23.7% | +8.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 13.0% | 21.1% | +8.0 |
