Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Celta Vigo with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 26 (before the first match) against those on January 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 47.3% | 33.8% | −13.5 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 28.6% | 41.0% | +12.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 34.1% | 45.5% | +11.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 24.3% | 14.6% | −9.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 43.8% | 34.9% | −8.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 56.9% | 65.6% | +8.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.6% | 18.3% | +7.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 31.1% | 23.4% | −7.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 19.4% | 12.7% | −6.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 38.6% | 32.2% | −6.4 |
