Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Valencia with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 17 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 41.7% | 28.9% | −12.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 67.1% | 57.4% | −9.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 20.4% | 10.8% | −9.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 37.8% | 47.3% | +9.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 17.6% | 9.6% | −8.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champion | 17.6% | 10.1% | −7.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 9.3% | 15.7% | +6.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 38.1% | 44.5% | +6.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 83.5% | 89.3% | +5.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 22.2% | 27.8% | +5.6 |
