Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Barcelona with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 30 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 34.9% | 52.1% | +17.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 33.4% | 19.4% | −14.1 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 41.0% | 28.2% | −12.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.7% | 73.8% | −9.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 45.5% | 35.8% | −9.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 9.2% | 18.6% | +9.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 33.8% | 24.4% | −9.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 23.4% | 32.4% | +8.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 32.2% | 39.4% | +7.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 18.3% | 25.2% | +6.9 |
