Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Espanyol with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 9 (before the first match) against those on January 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 27.5% | 37.8% | +10.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 25.0% | 16.1% | −8.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 16.4% | 7.8% | −8.6 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 33.4% | 41.7% | +8.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 20.7% | 13.5% | −7.2 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 10.6% | 17.6% | +7.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 29.0% | 22.2% | −6.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 32.6% | 38.6% | +6.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 24.8% | 30.8% | +6.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 44.0% | 38.1% | −5.8 |
