Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Valencia with a 12.1% chance and Rayo Vallecano beat Atlético Madrid with a 11.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 60.4% | 39.1% | −21.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 27.4% | 43.3% | +15.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 12.6% | 26.3% | +13.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 31.9% | 44.8% | +12.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 50.8% | 62.1% | +11.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 40.3% | 29.4% | −10.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 45.7% | 35.0% | −10.7 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 41.9% | 32.6% | −9.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 36.2% | 26.9% | −9.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 56.4% | 65.6% | +9.2 |
