Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 22 (before the first match) against those on January 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 54.4% | 83.0% | +28.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 33.6% | 10.6% | −23.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 9.3% | 30.8% | +21.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 19.8% | 38.6% | +18.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 61.8% | 43.8% | −18.0 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 44.3% | 28.6% | −15.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 28.8% | 14.7% | −14.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 13.5% | 27.0% | +13.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 24.7% | 11.5% | −13.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 22.6% | 34.1% | +11.5 |
