Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Barcelona with a 15.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 40.9% | 25.1% | −15.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 48.7% | 57.8% | +9.1 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 15.0% | 6.3% | −8.8 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 66.0% | 74.4% | +8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 41.0% | 49.0% | +8.0 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 59.4% | 67.1% | +7.7 |
| Villarreal | Relegation play-off | 21.9% | 14.8% | −7.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 40.0% | 47.0% | +7.0 |
| Mallorca | Champion | 26.4% | 33.4% | +7.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 15.9% | 9.0% | −6.9 |
