Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Real Madrid with a 24.6% chance, Real Oviedo beat Athletic Club with a 17.8% chance, and Espanyol beat Real Zaragoza with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 53.3% | 69.2% | +15.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 59.9% | 71.5% | +11.6 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 67.0% | 57.4% | −9.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 15.1% | 24.5% | +9.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.1% | 53.7% | −9.4 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 9.8% | 18.7% | +8.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 11.1% | 19.6% | +8.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 18.8% | 26.9% | +8.0 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 63.5% | 56.1% | −7.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Champions League | 11.2% | 18.3% | +7.1 |
