Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Racing Santander with a 23.7% chance and Deportivo La Coruña beat Real Betis with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logroñés | Relegation | 57.8% | 38.6% | −19.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 43.9% | 26.8% | −17.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 28.4% | 15.9% | −12.5 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 29.1% | 17.8% | −11.3 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 12.9% | 21.2% | +8.3 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 15.5% | 7.4% | −8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 40.3% | 47.8% | +7.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.6% | +7.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 11.1% | 18.4% | +7.3 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 73.0% | 80.1% | +7.0 |
