Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Real Betis with a 16.1% chance, Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo with a 24.9% chance, and Real Valladolid beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 26 (before the first match) against those on June 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 70.3% | 94.7% | +24.4 |
| Extremadura | Relegation play-off | 20.0% | 2.8% | −17.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 19.3% | 2.1% | −17.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 17.1% | 1.4% | −15.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 82.9% | 98.6% | +15.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation play-off | 2.1% | 16.0% | +13.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation play-off | 35.4% | 47.6% | +12.2 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 12.4% | 1.0% | −11.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 0.9% | 9.6% | +8.6 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 99.5% | 94.3% | −5.3 |
