Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Real Oviedo with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 39.8% | 23.8% | −16.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 30.3% | 45.9% | +15.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 7.2% | 15.5% | +8.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 16.4% | 8.4% | −8.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 89.1% | 96.6% | +7.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.0% | 51.3% | −6.7 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 41.7% | 48.1% | +6.4 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 4.1% | 9.9% | +5.9 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation play-off | 6.2% | 11.7% | +5.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 87.2% | 81.8% | −5.4 |
