Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Racing Santander with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 7 (before the first match) against those on April 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 70.7% | 87.2% | +16.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 22.5% | 7.2% | −15.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 31.5% | 16.4% | −15.1 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 16.5% | 30.3% | +13.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 49.3% | 58.0% | +8.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 21.9% | 13.7% | −8.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 13.3% | 5.9% | −7.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 29.9% | 36.4% | +6.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 11.7% | 5.6% | −6.1 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 87.5% | 93.5% | +6.1 |
