Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 18 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 46.1% | 33.1% | −13.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 69.9% | 58.0% | −11.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 30.5% | 21.0% | −9.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 26.4% | 34.4% | +8.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 51.3% | 58.3% | +7.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Europa League | 14.5% | 8.4% | −6.1 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 63.4% | 69.3% | +5.9 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 18.9% | 24.4% | +5.5 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 20.3% | 25.8% | +5.5 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 91.7% | 86.4% | −5.3 |
