Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Espanyol with a 10.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | Relegation | 55.7% | 42.1% | −13.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 37.3% | 25.5% | −11.8 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 18.0% | 29.0% | +11.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 27.8% | 17.3% | −10.5 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 14.3% | 24.7% | +10.4 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 21.4% | 11.7% | −9.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 29.9% | 20.7% | −9.2 |
| Tenerife | Champions League | 17.7% | 25.8% | +8.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 23.6% | 15.9% | −7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 24.5% | 32.2% | +7.7 |
