Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen sits 8th in the table, with 9 points from 6 matches. The main open race is Champion: 2.6%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.9% and 5.2%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (18.4%), Europa League (6.2%), Conference League (7.4%), Relegation play-off (3.5%), and Relegation (3.5%). Next match: against Mainz 05, away, in round 7. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 24.7%; a loss, to 13.0%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
Click zones to show or hide. Drag the bottom bar to zoom.
Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation play-off | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/18/2026 | 2.6% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 10/17/2026 | 2.3% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% |
| 10/16/2026 | 4.0% | 25.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| 10/11/2026 | 4.1% | 25.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| 10/10/2026 | 4.7% | 26.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% |
| 10/09/2026 | 4.5% | 26.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 09/20/2026 | 5.0% | 30.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| 09/19/2026 | 5.2% | 31.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| 09/18/2026 | 1.6% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| 09/13/2026 | 2.3% | 16.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.3% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% |
| 09/11/2026 | 3.5% | 20.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% |
| 09/06/2026 | 3.6% | 20.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% |
| 09/05/2026 | 3.9% | 22.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 22.2% |
| 08/30/2026 | 1.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 21.2% |
| 08/29/2026 | 4.3% | 20.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% |
| 08/28/2026 | 5.0% | 21.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 10.9% |
What the next match is worth
Werder Bremen's chance of each objective depending on the result against Mainz 05
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 18.4% | 24.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% |
| Relegation | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% |
| Champion | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Relegation play-off | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% |
| Europa League | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Conference League | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
