Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo-SP beat Athletico-PR with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 58.0% | 27.1% | −30.9 |
| Volta Redonda | Relegation | 64.6% | 36.7% | −28.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 54.7% | 32.0% | −22.7 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 38.4% | 18.2% | −20.2 |
| Athletic | Relegation | 32.2% | 51.8% | +19.6 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 50.6% | 68.6% | +18.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 19.6% | 37.7% | +18.0 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 35.6% | 53.4% | +17.8 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 36.7% | 20.0% | −16.7 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 31.1% | 14.8% | −16.3 |
