Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo-SP beat Santos with a 16.9% chance and Paysandu beat América-MG with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 28 (before the first match) against those on June 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 67.6% | 35.8% | −31.8 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 45.0% | 22.1% | −22.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 43.1% | 20.6% | −22.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 59.3% | 37.2% | −22.1 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 39.3% | 59.5% | +20.2 |
| Santos | Promotion | 47.9% | 28.1% | −19.7 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 24.0% | 42.5% | +18.5 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 20.6% | 38.2% | +17.6 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 37.4% | 54.3% | +16.9 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 55.6% | 71.3% | +15.7 |
