Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo-SP beat Amazonas with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 25 (before the first match) against those on October 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 59.1% | 20.7% | −38.4 |
| Sport | Champion | 44.4% | 13.1% | −31.3 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 34.5% | 8.8% | −25.7 |
| Santos | Champion | 38.6% | 61.0% | +22.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 44.3% | 62.1% | +17.8 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 62.5% | 79.4% | +16.9 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 18.4% | 3.2% | −15.2 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 81.9% | 93.2% | +11.3 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 80.6% | 91.5% | +11.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 97.0% | 87.7% | −9.3 |
