Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Goiás with a 20.7% chance and Ituano beat Botafogo-SP with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 2 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 50.6% | 22.1% | −28.6 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 82.7% | 57.8% | −24.8 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 42.8% | 22.6% | −20.2 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 38.7% | 20.4% | −18.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 28.9% | 47.0% | +18.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 27.6% | 45.4% | +17.8 |
| Santos | Promotion | 43.7% | 61.1% | +17.4 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 36.4% | 53.3% | +16.9 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 22.8% | 38.5% | +15.8 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 29.6% | 14.8% | −14.7 |
