Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brusque beat Ceará with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 11 (before the first match) against those on June 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusque | Relegation | 63.8% | 37.1% | −26.7 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 48.9% | 28.6% | −20.2 |
| Sport | Promotion | 33.0% | 52.5% | +19.5 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 36.6% | 19.6% | −17.0 |
| CRB | Relegation | 19.7% | 35.9% | +16.2 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 56.2% | 72.3% | +16.1 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 34.0% | 18.0% | −16.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 32.4% | 16.6% | −15.8 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 26.4% | 10.8% | −15.6 |
| Amazonas | Relegation | 11.9% | 27.4% | +15.5 |
