Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 30 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 35.2% | 55.1% | +19.9 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 41.3% | 22.4% | −18.8 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 91.0% | 73.0% | −18.1 |
| CSA | Promotion | 58.6% | 76.2% | +17.6 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 66.4% | 80.1% | +13.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 48.5% | 61.0% | +12.5 |
| Goiás | Champion | 20.1% | 8.0% | −12.1 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 12.2% | 2.2% | −10.0 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 62.7% | 70.5% | +7.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 8.3% | 0.8% | −7.4 |
