Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Londrina beat Ponte Preta with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 21 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 33.1% | 9.3% | −23.8 |
| Oeste | Promotion | 23.9% | 7.3% | −16.6 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 20.6% | 6.4% | −14.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 18.9% | 5.9% | −13.0 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 14.1% | 27.0% | +12.8 |
| CSA | Promotion | 14.0% | 26.7% | +12.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 32.0% | 44.6% | +12.6 |
| São Bento | Promotion | 28.1% | 15.7% | −12.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 14.3% | 26.1% | +11.9 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 15.1% | 3.7% | −11.4 |
