Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Atlético-GO with a 15.6% chance and Fortaleza beat Vila Nova with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 78.9% | 47.9% | −31.0 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 23.5% | 49.6% | +26.2 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 27.7% | 49.8% | +22.1 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 49.2% | 29.9% | −19.3 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 27.2% | 45.8% | +18.6 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 71.8% | 90.3% | +18.5 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 27.6% | 46.1% | +18.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 45.3% | 28.0% | −17.3 |
| CSA | Promotion | 75.1% | 59.6% | −15.6 |
| CSA | Champion | 25.6% | 12.2% | −13.4 |
