Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat Avaí with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 5 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Relegation | 67.2% | 39.7% | −27.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 39.1% | 62.1% | +23.0 |
| CSA | Champion | 15.3% | 37.0% | +21.7 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 28.9% | 50.5% | +21.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 45.1% | 65.9% | +20.8 |
| CSA | Promotion | 66.3% | 86.3% | +20.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 60.3% | 43.4% | −16.9 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 70.7% | 54.3% | −16.4 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 43.4% | 28.8% | −14.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 13.6% | 27.6% | +14.0 |
