Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Ceará with a 21.7% chance and Luverdense beat ABC with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luverdense | Relegation | 49.4% | 19.2% | −30.3 |
| Oeste | Promotion | 22.3% | 42.4% | +20.1 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 86.4% | 66.7% | −19.7 |
| América-MG | Champion | 8.2% | 24.6% | +16.3 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 12.6% | 24.3% | +11.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 83.3% | 93.7% | +10.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 96.0% | 86.8% | −9.2 |
| Ceará | Champion | 21.7% | 12.8% | −8.9 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 9.5% | 17.7% | +8.2 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 88.4% | 95.8% | +7.5 |
