Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Boa Esporte with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oeste | Promotion | 49.6% | 23.3% | −26.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 35.2% | 14.2% | −21.0 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 58.0% | 77.9% | +19.9 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 68.5% | 84.4% | +15.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 77.6% | 91.3% | +13.8 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 19.1% | 6.8% | −12.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 29.0% | 41.2% | +12.3 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 15.0% | 24.5% | +9.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 23.1% | 14.7% | −8.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 95.4% | 87.2% | −8.2 |
